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Chapter 12

Employment and Skill Development: Getting Skilling Right

Economic Survey 2025-26  |  Pages 518–562

Chapter Essence

Chapter 12 examines India's labour market through two complementary lenses: employment structure and skill development. It maps the state of employment across organised manufacturing, unincorporated enterprises, gig workers, and the female workforce. It then analyses India's skilling architecture — from early vocational education in schools to apprenticeships, industry-driven training, innovative financing, and accountability frameworks. The central thesis: India has the quantity of labour but must urgently shift from enrolment metrics to outcome metrics in skilling, while closing structural barriers that exclude women and youth from quality jobs.

56.2 cr
Employed (Q2 FY26, PLFS)
41.7%
FLFPR (2023-24) — up from 23.3% in 2017-18
57 lakh
Jobs Added in Manufacturing (FY15–FY24)
31 cr+
e-Shram Registrations
120 lakh
Gig Workers (FY25) — up from 77L in FY21
56.3%
Overall Youth Employability (India Skill Report 2026)
34.7%
Vocational/Technical Training Penetration (2023-24)
43.47 lakh
Apprentices under PM-NAPS
📊

Employment Overview: Labour Market Dynamics

Labour Market Indicators (H1 FY26, PLFS): LFPR stabilising at ~55%; Unemployment Rate (CWS) declining from 5.4% → 4.7–4.8%. 56.2 crore people employed in Q2 FY26. 8.7 lakh new jobs created in Q2 vs Q1 FY26.

💡 Concept: Demographic Dividend vs Longevity Dividend

India's workforce structure is at a pivotal juncture — two distinct but sequential opportunities:

IndicatorRuralUrbanKey Feature
Dominant sectorAgriculture (57.7%)Services (62.0%)Structural divide
Employment typeSelf-employed (62.8%)Regular wage/salary (49.8%)Informality vs formality
Women's work patternHelpers/own-account (37.5%)Regular wages (10.8%)Preference for flexibility
Q2 FY26 employment shareAgriculture: 42.4%Self-employed: 55.8%Seasonal agricultural rise

💡 Concept: Time Use Survey (TUS) 2024 — The Dual Burden on Women

MoSPI's second national Time Use Survey (January–December 2024) reveals deep gender asymmetry in paid/unpaid work division:

🏭

Organised Manufacturing & Unincorporated Sector Employment

ASI FY24 Highlights: Organised manufacturing added 57 lakh jobs over FY15–FY24 (CAGR 4%). FY24 alone saw +10 lakh jobs (+6% YoY). Large factories (>100 workers): employ 79% of workforce, with higher wages and NVA per person engaged. Large factories almost doubled (97% increase) vs 26% for smaller ones in FY14–FY24.
Top Manufacturing States (by employment share):
Tamil Nadu (15%) → Gujarat (13%) → Maharashtra (13%) → UP (8%) → Karnataka (6%) → Haryana (6%) → Telangana (5%).
Together: ~60% of total manufacturing employment.
Top 8 Industry Groups (~60% of manufacturing employment):
Food Products (11%), Basic Metals (8%), Textiles (9%), Wearing Apparel (7%), Motor Vehicles/Trailers (7%), Chemicals & Chemical Products (6%), Machinery & Equipment (6%), Other Non-Metallic Mineral Products (6%).
Unincorporated Non-Agricultural Sector (QBUSE Q2 FY26): 7.9 crore establishments employing 12.9 crore individuals. Working owners: 60% of employed. Rural workforce: 6 crore. Women: 28.7% of sector workforce. Internet use by businesses: 26% (2023-24) → 39% (Q2 FY26) — rapid digitisation.

🎯 Policy Concept: e-Shram — National Database for Unorganised Workers

Launched as the first pan-India registration platform for unorganised workers:

👩‍💼

Enhancing Female Labour Force Participation (FLFPR)

FLFPR Progress: Rose from 23.3% (2017-18) → 41.7% (2023-24). Female unemployment rate fell from 5.6% → 3.2%. Female-headed establishments: 24.2% (2021-22) → 26.2% (2023-24). In manufacturing sector: 58.4% of establishments are female-headed.

💡 Concept: Pink Tax on Mobility

The Pink Tax on Mobility refers to the extra cost women pay to reach the same destinations compared to men, due to gender-specific safety needs not addressed by the transport system.

Housing

Sakhi Niwas & Thozhi Hostels

  • Sakhi Niwas scheme (MoWCD): safe, affordable hostels for working women
  • Tamil Nadu's Thozhi Hostels: PPP model with crèches, kitchens, shared spaces
  • Expanding secure rental housing → improves access to urban jobs
Ecosystem

State-Level PPP Models

  • Telangana WE-Hub: Connects women with start-up ecosystems and investors
  • Kerala Kudumbashree: Microfinance + collective enterprises in non-traditional roles (construction, logistics)
  • Maharashtra MAVIM: Links SHGs to formal credit and enterprise support
Labour Codes

Gender Provisions in Labour Codes

  • Women can work night shifts (with safety infrastructure mandatory)
  • Work-from-home provision (Section 59(5), CSS 2020) post-maternity
  • Equal wages (Code on Wages, 2019); crèche provision (CSS 2020)
  • ISF estimates: gender provisions could elevate FLFPR to 33.7%
STEM

Improving Women's STEM Access

  • Women: 43% of STEM enrolment (2021-22) — improving but below parity
  • Only 2.9% of employed women in rural+urban have advanced degrees
  • STEM barriers: social expectations, mobility, early marriage, higher education costs
  • Women in STEM unlock white-collar services and modern manufacturing roles
⚖️

Labour Codes: Catalysing Job Growth and Formalisation

Notified November 21, 2025: Four Labour Codes consolidate 29 central laws into a streamlined framework, balancing flexibility with worker protection. States are notifying draft rules — 32 states/UTs have published draft rules.

💡 Concept: The Four Labour Codes

Consolidation of 29 central laws (and 140+ central+state laws) into four comprehensive codes:

Impact AreaProjectionSource
New jobs (organised sector, medium-term)~77 lakh jobsSBI Ecowrap Nov 2025
Unemployment rate reductionUR falls to 1.9–2.9%SBI
Formalisation rate60.4% → 75.5%SBI
Compliance cost reduction30–40%Indian Staffing Federation
Consumption boost (Code on Wages)~₹75,000 croreSBI
GDP contribution by 2029-30+1.25% of GDPISF
Gig worker social security (by 2030)2.35 crore workers potentially coveredCSS 2020
🛵

Gig Economy: Growth, Challenges & Regulation

Gig Economy Scale: 77 lakh workers (FY21) → 120 lakh workers (FY25) — a 55% increase. Now >2% of total workforce. Projected to constitute 6.7% of non-agricultural workforce by 2029-30, contributing ₹2.35 lakh crore to GDP. Driven by 80 crore+ smartphone users and 15 billion UPI transactions/month.

💡 Concept: McKinsey's 4 Types of Gig Workers

Policy should move workers from categories iii & iv to i & ii — making gig work a choice rather than a necessity:

Demand structure: Low-skill/high-turnover (retail, food service) → Middle-skill generalists (taxi, beauticians) → High-skill specialists (programmers, physicians). NITI Aayog: high-skill gig workers projected at 27.5%; low-skill at 33.8% by 2030.

Gig Worker Challenges: 40% earn below ₹15,000/month. 'Thin-file' credit access (no credit history). Algorithmic control over work allocation and wages. Income volatility prevents access to mortgages, loans. Limited social security and fear of AI/ML displacing jobs.
Global Regulatory Trend: Spain's 'Ley Rider' (2021) — food couriers recognised as employees. EU Platform Workers Directive (2024) — corrects misclassification, regulates algorithmic decision-making. ILO (2025) — formal standards on decent work in platform economy. Seattle, New York City — minimum wage laws and anti-retaliation measures for app-based workers.

🎯 Policy Concept: Earned Wage Access (EWA)

EWA (On-Demand Pay) allows workers to access part or all of their earned wages before the scheduled payday. Evidence from an RCT (March 2023–October 2024, 800+ women workers, Good Business Lab):

🎯

Skill Ecosystem: From Supply-Driven to Industry-Driven Skilling

Vocational Training Progress: Share of individuals (15–59 yrs) with some vocational/technical training: 8.1% (2017-18) → 34.7% (2023-24). However, formal vocational training: only 4.9% (youth 15–29). NCAER (2025): a 12-pp increase in skilled workforce could lead to >13% increase in employment in labour-intensive sectors by 2030.

🎯 Policy Concept: Skill India Digital Hub (SIDH)

SIDH is the central governance reform of India's skilling ecosystem — a unified digital platform for all government skill, education, employment, and entrepreneurship initiatives:

PMKVY 4.0

Pradhan Mantri Kaushal Vikas Yojana

  • Training in NSQF-aligned job roles developed by industry-led SSCs
  • Sectoral focus: digital tech, green energy, healthcare, agri, financial services, e-commerce
  • Flexi-MoU: firms customise training per evolving needs; 10,000 trainees so far
  • CAG 2025 audit found gaps: inconsistent data management, fund disbursement delays, low placement outcomes
Artisans

PM Vishwakarma Scheme

  • Covers 18 traditional trades (carpenter, cobbler, blacksmith, potter, etc.)
  • 30 lakh beneficiaries registered; 23.09 lakh trained (Dec 2025)
  • PM Vishwakarma digital certificate + ID card
  • Toolkit e-voucher up to ₹15,000
  • Collateral-free loans up to ₹3 lakh at concessional rates
  • Online marketing via e-commerce; 30,000+ on GeM
ITI Reform

PM SETU (ITI Upgradation)

  • Upgrade 1,000 govt ITIs (200 hub + 800 spoke)
  • Smart classrooms, modern labs, digital content
  • 5 sector-specific National Centres of Excellence (with global partners)
  • 169 NSQF trades developed; 31 future-skills courses (AI, IoT, RE, 3D printing)
  • Implementation through SPVs with anchor industry partners
Higher Ed

NCrF & Apprenticeships

  • National Credit Framework (NCrF): credit accumulation across academic, vocational, work-based routes
  • Multiple entry-exit provisions in HEIs
  • SWAYAM Plus (Feb 2024): industry-aligned courses in AI, data analytics, robotics
  • NATS 2.0: 5.23 lakh apprentices in FY25; 12 lakh+ DBT stipend transfers
🏫

Early Vocational Education & Apprenticeships

School Skilling Gap (PARAKH 2024): Only 47% of schools offer skill-based courses at Grade IX+. Participation is just 29%. Only 4.9% of youth (15–29 yrs) have received formal vocational training. Without early vocational exposure, STW (School-to-Work) transitions remain weak.

💡 Concept: Dual Vocational System — International Models

Countries with strong vocational outcomes share five structural features:

India's School-Level Skilling Initiatives: CBSE mandates Kaushal Bodh textbooks for Grades VI–VIII from 2025-26 (NCERT). Vocationalisation of School Education under Samagra Shiksha. State-level under STARS: MP's Skill GPS app, Rajasthan's Career Education Programme, Maharashtra's Career Portal, Odisha's industrial visits, Meghalaya's SPARK (6,048 students; 1.2 lakh training hours in pilot year), Kerala's ESTEEM. Annual Kaushal Mela (Skill Fair) in all schools.

🎯 Policy Concept: Odisha's 'Fix-Accelerate-Scale' Model for ITI Reform

Odisha Skill Development Authority (OSDA, 2016) built a replicable ITI transformation template:

Apprenticeships (PM-NAPS + NATS): 43.47 lakh apprentices engaged under PM-NAPS; 51,000+ establishments; 20% female participation. NATS: 5.23 lakh apprentices in FY25. NAPS 2.0: ₹1,110.64 crore disbursed via DBT directly to apprentices (25% of stipend). Need: unified apprenticeship mission merging NAPS + NATS; expand into green manufacturing, gig economy, digital services. Regional gap: North-East has only a few hundred to few thousand registrations vs 10 lakh+ in Maharashtra and UP.
💰

Innovative Financing & Accountability in Skilling

💡 Concept: Skill Impact Bond (SIB) — Outcomes-Based Financing

The Skill Impact Bond (implemented by MSDE through NSDC) is a performance-linked payment mechanism:

💡 Concept: Skill Vouchers — Demand-Side Financing

A skill voucher is a demand-side financing instrument that gives trainees choice over their training provider, encouraging competition on quality:

Accountability Gaps (CAG 2025 on PMKVY): Inconsistencies in beneficiary and data management; delays in fund disbursement; gaps in monitoring systems; low placement outcomes. Only 56.3% overall youth employability (India Skill Report 2026). 22–25 age group dominates employability; Northern and Southern states outperform others.
Towards a Skilling Scorecard: Track post-training trajectory (6-month and 12-month employment + earnings) via UAN → EPFO/ESIC linkage. Integration of SIDH + NCS + e-Shram creates digital public infrastructure for real-time monitoring. Outcome-linked financing to reward high-performing institutions and sunset weak ones. Germany, Switzerland, Korea model: link funding + institutional legitimacy to measured outcomes over time.
Model Skill Loan Scheme 2024 (CGFSSD): Increased maximum loan limit; expanded pool of eligible lending institutions; covers non-NSQF courses on SIDH. Provides credit-based route for skill acquisition alongside grant-based models — recognising that diverse financing mechanisms reduce access barriers.
🔭

Outlook: Integrated Digital Labour Market Infrastructure

Vision for 2029-30: India is building an integrated digital labour market infrastructure — combining e-Shram (unorganised workers data), NCS (vacancies + skill requirements), and SIDH (training opportunities) into a unified DPI for the labour market.
Labour Codes

Implementation Priorities

  • 32 states/UTs have draft rules published; full implementation is now underway
  • Private sector must update HR systems, policies, digital readiness
  • Industrial Tribunals to expedite dispute resolution
  • FTE expansion reduces incentive to remain small
Gig Economy

Regulatory Priorities

  • Algorithmic transparency and fairness in work allocation
  • Co-investment by platforms in worker asset ownership (bike, equipment)
  • Portable social security + emergency savings for gig workers
  • Minimum per-hour/per-task earnings (including waiting time)
  • Competition rules on platform concentration
Skilling

Skilling Reform Priorities

  • Unified apprenticeship mission (NAPS + NATS convergence)
  • Whole-of-government skilling (horizontal + vertical coordination)
  • From enrolment metrics → outcome metrics (earnings, job retention)
  • Expand skill vouchers; outcome-linked SIBs; employer co-investment
  • Longitudinal UAN-based tracking of trainees

Practice MCQs — Chapter 12

Q1. As per the Annual Survey of Industries (ASI) FY24, how many jobs were added in the organised manufacturing sector over the decade FY15–FY24?
Explanation: ASI FY24 data shows the organised manufacturing sector added more than 57 lakh jobs over FY15–FY24 at a CAGR of 4%. In FY24 alone, over 10 lakh jobs were added (6% YoY growth). Large factories (>100 workers) grew at CAGR 6% vs 2% for smaller factories.
Q2. The Female Labour Force Participation Rate (FLFPR) in India increased from 23.3% in 2017-18 to which figure in 2023-24, as per PLFS data?
Explanation: FLFPR rose from 23.3% (2017-18) to 41.7% (2023-24), while female unemployment rate fell from 5.6% to 3.2%. This is a significant structural shift, supported by reforms allowing women to work night shifts, growth of self-employment, and expansion of digital economic opportunities.
Q3. The Code on Social Security (CSS) 2020 defines a 'gig worker' as:
Explanation: Chapter I, Section 2(35) of the CSS 2020 precisely defines a gig worker as one who "participates in a work arrangement and earns from such activities outside of a traditional employer-employee relationship." This formal recognition enables social security extension to gig and platform workers.
Q4. The 'Skill Impact Bond' implemented by MSDE through NSDC is best described as:
Explanation: The SIB is an outcome-based financing instrument. Private investors provide upfront capital; the outcome funder (government) repays only when independently verified placement and retention outcomes are achieved. This shifts the incentive from maximising enrolments to achieving real labour-market outcomes.
Q5. According to the Time Use Survey 2024 (MoSPI), women in India in the 15–59 age group spend how many minutes per day on unpaid activities?
Explanation: TUS 2024 shows women spend an average of 363 minutes/day on unpaid activities (vs 123 min for men). Women also spend 140 min/day on caregiving (vs 74 min for men). The total paid + unpaid burden on women is higher than men — the dual burden — explaining women's preference for flexible work arrangements.
Q6. The Odisha 'Fix-Accelerate-Scale' strategy for ITI transformation used the '10-64-2 formula'. What does this formula represent?
Explanation: The '10-64-2 formula' was a role-model campaign: highlighting 10 successful alumni — of whom 6 are employed outside Odisha, 4 are women, and 2 are entrepreneurs. This was used to change public perception of vocational education and boost ITI enrolments through confidence-building and aspirational marketing.
Q7. Maharashtra's 'Vikalp Skill Voucher Programme' achieved which notable outcome?
Explanation: Maharashtra's Vikalp Skill Voucher Programme (a joint initiative of NSDC, BARTI, Centre for Civil Society, and Michael & Susan Dell Foundation) provided redeemable skill vouchers with payments linked to outcomes (course completion, certification, job placement). It achieved a 60% job-retention rate among completers — validating the demand-side voucher model.
Q8. As per SBI Ecowrap (November 2025), the implementation of all four Labour Codes is expected to contribute what amount to India's GDP by 2029-30?
Explanation: SBI estimates that the Labour Codes implementation could contribute 1.25% to GDP by 2029-30 through enhanced worker welfare and business agility. The Code on Wages alone could boost consumption by ~₹75,000 crore. Medium-term employment gains are projected at +77 lakh jobs with UR falling to 1.9–2.9%.